Desire for Revenge and its strategic logic.

Working Papers:

Cosmopolitan Leaders And The Illusion Of Cosmopolitan Peace

Migrant Legislators: foreign-born legislators, paths to citizenship and policy preferences of US legislators.

Analogical Reasoning as Confirmation Bias: a study of the Soviet Collapse Analogy

Concentrate or Disperse? resource allocation in great power competition

Anger Management: the reassuring and backfire effects of elite foreign policy cues

Other Projects:

Predicting Terrorist and Insurgent Violence with Machine Learning: Division-Month Data for Pakistan

Authoritarian Hawks in China: Ideological and dispositional roots of individual foreign policy preferences, 2017


Does female integration in military reduce sexual violence? a natural experiment in Soviet-Occupied Berlin. With Cathryn Grothe, 2017


Policy Reports and Selected Op-Eds:

“China’s Foreign Policy Experiment in South Sudan – Africa Report N°288”, International Crisis Group, 10 July 2017,

“East China Sea: Preventing Clashes from Becoming Crises – Asia Report N°280”, International Crisis Group, 30 June 2016.

Feng Zhang and Xunchao Zhang, “Common Sino-US Understanding”, Australian Institute of International Affairs, September 24, 2015

“Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank: A test of Sino-US relations, Australian Outlook-Australian Institute of International Affairs, September 24, 2015,

“China and Japan: It’s Not about History.” Australian Outlook-Australian Institute of International Affairs, September 15, 2015,

“Becoming a Maritime Power? – The First Chinese Base in the Indian Ocean.” In Chinese Military Strategy: a CIMSEC Compendium, Center for International Maritime Security, Washington DC. August 8, 2015,

“Hostage crisis wasn’t Japan’s 9/11.” The Strategist, The Australian Strategic Policy Institute. February 11, 2015,

“A U.S.-China War in Asia: Could America Win by Blockade?.” The National Interest, November 25, 2014,

Selected Chinese language Publications

“Three Perspectives on the Russian Invasion of Ukraine in the United States”, 复旦中美互信计划Sino-US Trust Building Initiative, Fudan University.

“The Ukraine Shock: Could Economic Cost Prevent War?”, 澎湃ThePaper, 26 February, 2022,

“Australian Foreign Policy in a Changing Asia-Pacific: choice between US and China or independent foreign policy”, 澎湃ThePaper, 28 March, 2017.

Zhang, Xunchao. “How the Brexit Vote Was Lost? What are the implications?”, 澎湃ThePaper, 30 June, 2016.